Tracking of Forecasts

Here I monitor the weekly and monthly forecasts made, and compare them to what really happened in terms of S&P 500.

06 July 2012 ~ Comments Off on Tracking of Forecasts

Tracking of Forecasts

MONTHLY FORECASTS

 

Made on For the Period Forecast How it happened Right/Wrong/??
S&P500 Range
10/26/2018 Nov 25 – Dec 18 Flat/Mixed 2630-
10/04/2018 Oct 26 – Nov 23 Bullish 2660-2630 Wrong
09/05/2018 Oct 04 – Oct 25 Mixed/Flat 2920-2660 Wrong
08/18/2018 Sept 05 – Oct 03 Bullish 2900-2920 Right
08/01/2018 Aug 18 – Sep 04 Bullish 2850-2900 Right
7/06/2018 Aug 02 – Aug 17 Bearish 2810-2850 Wrong
6/09/2018 Jul 05 – Aug 01 Bearish 2760-2810 Wrong
5/14/2018 Jun 09 – Jul 04 Slightly Bullish 2780-2760 Wrong
4/19/2018 May 15 – Jun 08 Mixed/Flat 2720-2780 Wrong
3/27/2018 Apr 20 – May 14 Mixed/Flat 2710-2720 Right
3/01/2018 Mar 26 – Apr 19 Slightly Bullish 2590-2710 Right
2/05/2018 Mar 02 – Mar 25 Slightly Bearish 2690-2590 Right
1/15/2018 Feb 06 – Mar 01 Slightly Bearish 2765-2690 Right
12/20/2017 Jan 13 – Feb 05 Mixed/Flat 2785-2765 Right
12/01/2017 Dec 21 – Jan 12/2018 Bullish 2680-2785 Right
11/01/2017 Nov 27 – Dec 20 Mixed/Flat 2600-2680 Wrong
10/09/2017 Nov 02 – Nov 26 Bullish 2580-2600 Right
09/16/2017 Oct 09 – Nov 02 Bearish 2550-2580 Wrong
08/21/2017 Sept 15 – Oct 08 Slightly Bearish 2495-2550 Wrong
07/26/2017 Aug 21 – Sep 14 Slightly Bullish 2450-2495 Right
06/29/2017 July 27 – Aug 20 Mixed/Flat 2475-2450 Right
05/28/2017 Jun 30 – July 26 Slightly higher 2420-2475 Right
04/28/2017 Jun 01 – Jun 29 Mixed/Flat 2410-2420 Right
04/01/2017 Apr 28 – May 31 Slightly Bullish 2380-2410 Right
03/01/2017 Mar 28 – Apr 27 Slightly Bullish 2340-2380 Right
02/01/2017 Mar 01 – Mar 27 Mixed/Flat 2360-2340 Right
12/27/2016 Jan 28 – Feb 28 Bullish 2290-2360 Right
12/01/2016 Dec 28 – Jan 27/2017 Bearish 2260-2290 Wrong
11/06/2016 Dec 03 – Dec 28 Slightly Bullish 2191-2260 Right
10/12/2016 Nov 07 – Dec 02 Slightly Bullish 2085-2191 Right
9/18/2016 Oct 13 – Nov 06 Slightly Bearish 2138-2085 Right
8/18/2016 Sept 18 – Oct 12 Bullish 2139-2138 Not Wrong
8/01/2016 Aug 25 – Sept 17 Volatile/Lower 2175-2139 Right
7/18/2016 Aug 01 – Aug 24 Flat 2173-2175 Right
6/18/2016 July 19 – Aug 01 Slightly Bullish 2160-2173 Right
5/18/2016 June 19 – July 18 Slightly Bullish 2070-2160 Right
01/18/2016 Feb 16 – Mar 16 Bearish 1860-1010 Wrong
12/18/2015 Jan 17 – Feb 15 Slightly Bearish 1880-1860 Right
11/18/2015 Dec 19 – Jan 16/2016 Slightly Bullish 2005-1880 Wrong
10/18/2015 Nov 19 – Dec 18 Slightly Bullish 2083-2005 Wrong
09/19/2015 Oct 19 – Nov 18 Bullish 2033-2083 Right
08/18/2015 Sept 19 – Oct 19 Slightly Bearish 1958-2033 Wrong
07/17/2015 Aug 20 – Sept 19 Slightly Bullish 2096-1958 Wrong
06/17/2015 July 18 – August 18 Slightly Bullish 2120-2096 Not wrong
05/16/2015 June 18 – July 17 Slightly Bearish 2100-2120 Wrong
04/16/2015 May 18 – June 17 Bearish 2122-2100 Right
03/15/2015 Apr 17 – May 17 Flat/Slightly Bullish 2105-2122 Right
02/15/2015 Mar 17 – Apr 16 Slightly Bullish 2081-2105 Right
01/17/2015 Feb 16 – Mar 16 Bullish 2090-2081 Not wrong
12/18/2014 Jan 17 – Feb 15 Slightly Bullish 2020-2090 Right
11/19/2014 Dec 19 – 01/16/2015 Slightly Bullish 2060-2020 Wrong
10/19/2014 Nov 19 – Dec 18 Mixed/Flat 2050-2060 Right
09/19/2014 Oct 20 – Nov 18 Slightly Bullish 1886-2050 Right
08/31/2014 Oct 01 – Oct 20 Bearish 1972-1886 Right
08/23/2014 Sept 01 – Sept 30 Bullish  2003-1972 Wrong
06/30/2014 Aug 01 – Aug 31 Bearish 1925-2003 Wrong
05/31/2014 July 01 – July 30 Slightly Bullish 1960-1925 Right
04/30/2014 June 01 – June 30 Bullish 1920-1960 Right
03/31/2014 May 01 – May 31 Slightly Bullish 1880-1920 Right
02/16/2014 April 1 – April 30 Bearish 1870-1880 Not wrong
01/17/2014 Feb 17 – Mar 31 Slightly Bullish 1840-1870 Right
12/19/2013 Jan 17 – Feb 16 Slightly Bullish 1845-1840 Not Wrong
11/19/2013 Dec 18 – 01/16/2014 Bullish 1810-1845 Right
10/20/2013 Nov 19 – Dec 18 Slightly Bullish 1790-1810 Right
09/20/2013 Oct 20 – Nov 18 Up & Down 1745-1790 Right
08/20/2013 Sept 19 – Oct 19 Slightly Bullish 1725-1745 Right
07/18/2013 Aug 19 – Sept 18 Bearish 1656-1725 Wrong
06/18/2013 July 19 – Aug 18 Mildly Bearish 1690-1656 Right
05/15/2013 June 17 – July 18 Up & Down 1626-1690 Right
04/20/2013 May 17 – June 16 Mildly Bullish 1650-1626  Wrong
04/01/2013 April 16 – May 16 Mildly Bullish 1552-1650 Right
03/01/2013 Mar 17 – Apr 15 Up & Down 1560-1552 Right
01/15/2013 Feb 15 – Mar 17 Bullish 1520-1560 Right
12/17/2012 Jan 16 – Feb 14 Mildly Bearish 1470-1520 Wrong
11/17/2012 Dec 18 – Jan 15/2013 Bearish 1430-1470 Wrong
10/30/2012 Nov 18 – Dec 17 Mildly Bullish 1360-1430 Right
9/12/2012 Oct 19 – Nov 17 Mildly bearish 1460-1360 Right
9/12/2012 Sept 19 – Oct 18 Up & Down 1460-1460 Right
8/12/2012 Aug 19 – Sept 18 Mildly Bullish 1415-1460 Right
7/10/2012 July 15 – Aug 18 Mildly Bullish 1350-1415 Right
6/20/2012 June 20 – July 15 Bearish  1360-1350  Right

WEEKLY FORECASTS

 

Made on For the Week Forecast How it happened   Right/Wrong/??
S&P500 Range
12/02/2018 Dec 03 – Dec 07 Slightly Lower 2760.17-2633.08 Right
11/25/2018 Nov 26 – Nov 30 Slightly Higher 2632.95-2760.17 Right
11/18/2018 Nov 19 – Nov 23 Slightly Higher 2736.27-2632.95 Wrong
11/11/2018 Nov 12 – Nov 16 Slightly Higher 2781.06.01-2736.27 Wrong
11/04/2018 Nov 05 – Nov 09 Higher 2723.06.69-2781.01 Right
10/28/2018 Oct 29 – Nov 02 Higher 2658.69-2723.06 Right
10/21/2018 Oct 22 – Oct 26 Slightly Lower 2767.78-2658.69 Wrong
10/14/2018 Oct 15 – Oct 19 Slightly Lower 2776.13-2767.78 Right
10/07/2018 Oct 08 – Oct 12 Flat 2885.57-2776.13 Wrong
09/30/2018 Oct 01 – Oct 05 Flat 2913.98-2885.57 Right
09/23/2018 Sep 24 – Sep 28 Flat 2929.67-2913.98 Right
09/16/2018 Sep 17 – Sep 21 Flat 2904.98-2929.67 Right
09/09/2018 Sep 10 – Sep 14 Flat 2871.68-2904.98 Right
09/02/2018 Sep 03 – Sep 07 Slightly Higher 2901.52-2871.68 Wrong
08/26/2018 Aug 27 – Aug 31 Slightly Higher 2874.69-2901.52 Right
08/19/2018 Aug 20 – Aug 24 Slightly Higher 2850.13-2874.69 Right
08/12/2018 Aug 13 – Aug 17 Slightly Higher 2833.28-2850.13 Right
08/05/2018 Aug 06 – Aug 10 Slightly Higher 2840.35-2833.28 Not Wrong
07/29/2018 Jul 30 – Aug 03 Slightly Higher 2818.82-2840.35 Right
07/22/2018 Jul 23 – Jul 27 Slightly Lower 2801.83-2818.82 Wrong
07/15/2018 Jul 16 – Jul 20 Flat/Mixed 2801.31-2801.83 Right
07/08/2018 Jul 09 – Jul 13 Slightly Higher 2759.82-2801.31 Right
07/01/2018 Jul 02 – Jul 06 Mixed/Flat 2723.06-2759.82 Wrong
06/24/2018 Jun 25 – June 29 Slightly lower 2754.88-2723.06 Right
06/17/2018 Jun 18 – June 22 Slightly higher 2779.66-2754.88 Wrong
06/10/2018 Jun 11 – June 15 Slightly higher 2779.03-2779.66 Not wrong
06/03/2018 Jun 04 – June 08 Slightly higher 2734.62-2779.03 Right
05/27/2018 May 28 – June 01 Flat/Mixed 2721.33-2734.62 Not Wrong
05/20/2018 May 21 – May 25 Flat/Mixed 2712.97-2721.33 Right
05/13/2018 May 14 – May 18 Slightly Higher 2727.72-2712.97 Wrong
05/06/2018 May 07 – May 11 Slightly Higher 2663.42-2727.72 Right
04/29/2018 Apr 30 – May 04 Flat 2669.91-2663.42 Right
04/22/2018 Apr 23 – Apr 27 Flat 2670.14-2669.91 Right
04/15/2018 Apr 16 – Apr 20 Slightly Higher 2656.30-2670.14 Right
04/08/2018 Apr 09 – Apr 13 Slightly Higher 2604.47-2656.30 Right
04/01/2018 Apr 02 – Apr 06 Slightly Higher 2640.87-2604.47 Wrong
03/25/2018 Mar 26 – Mar 30 Slightly Higher 2588.26-2640.87 Right
03/18/2018 Mar 19 – Mar 23 Slightly Lower 2752.01-2588.26 Not Wrong
03/11/2018 Mar 12 – Mar 16 Mixed/Flat 2786.50-2752.01 Not Wrong
03/04/2018 Mar 05 – Mar 09 Slightly higher 2691.30-2786.50 Right
02/25/2018 Feb 26 – Mar 02 Slightly higher 2747.30-2691.30 Wrong
02/18/2018 Feb 19 – Feb 23 Flat 2732.22-2747.30 Right
02/11/2018 Feb 12 – Feb 16 Higher 2619.55-2732.22 Right
02/04/2018 Feb 05 – Feb 09 Flat/Mixed 2762.13-2619.55 Wrong
01/28/2018 Jan 29 – Feb 02 Flat/Mixed 2872.87-2762.13 Wrong
01/21/2018 Jan 22 – Jan 26 Slightly Higher 2816.30-2872.87 Right
01/14/2018 Jan 15 – Jan 19 Slightly Higher 2786.24-2816.30 Right
01/07/2018 Jan 08 – Jan 12 Higher 2743.15-2786.24 Right
12/31/2017 Jan 02 – Jan 05 Higher 2673.60-2743.15 Right
12/24/2017 Dec 25 – Dec 29 Flat 2683.34-2673.60 Right
12/17/2017 Dec 18 – Dec 22 Slightly Higher 2675.81-2683.34 Right
12/10/2017 Dec 11 – Dec 15 Slightly Higher 2651.50-2675.81 Right
12/03/2017 Dec 04 – Dec 08 Flat 2642.22-2651.50 Right
11/26/2017 Nov 27 – Dec 01 Slightly higher 2602.42-2642.22 Right
11/19/2017 Nov 20 – Nov 24 Slightly lower 2578.85-2602.42 Wrong
11/12/2017 Nov 13 – Nov 17 Slightly higher 2582.30-2578.85 Wrong
11/05/2017 Nov 06 – Nov 10 Flat 2587.84-2582.30 Right
10/29/2017 Oct 30 – Nov 03 Slightly higher 2581.07-2587.84 Right
10/22/2017 Oct 23 – Oct 27 Slightly higherer 2575.21-2581.07 Right
10/15/2017 Oct 16 – Oct 20 Lower 2563.17-2575.21 Wrong
10/08/2017 Oct 09 – Oct 13 Lower 2549.33-2563.17 Wrong
10/01/2017 Oct 02 – Oct 06 Slightly higher 2519.36-2549.33 Wrong
09/26/2017 Sept 25 – Sept 29 Slightly higher 2502.22-2519.36 Right
09/17/2017 Sept 18 – Sept 22 Flat 2500.23-2502.22 Right
09/10/2017 Sept 11 – Sept 15 Slightly Higher 2461.43-2500.23 Right
09/03/2017 Sept 04 – Sept 08 Flat 2476.55-2461.43 Not Wrong
08/27/2017 Aug 28 – Sept 01 Slightly Lower 2443.05-2476.55 Wrong
08/20/2017 Aug 21 – Aug 25 Slightly Higher 2425.50-2443.05 Right
08/13/2017 Aug 14 – Aug 18 Flat 2441.32-2425.50 Right
08/06/2017 Aug 07 – Aug 11 Flat 2473.86-2441.32 Wrong
07/30/2017 Jul 31 – Aug 04 Lower 2472.10-2473.86 Wrong
07/23/2017 July 24 – 28 Flat 2472.54-2472.10 Right
07/16/2017 July 17 – 21 Slightly Higher 2459.27-2472.54 Right
07/09/2017 July 10 – 14 Slightly Higher 2425.18-2459.27 Right
07/02/2017 July 03 – 07 Slightly Lower 2423.41-2425.18 Not wrong
06/25/2017 June 26 – 30 Slightly Lower 2438.30-2423.41 Right
06/18/2017 June 19 – 23 Flat 2433.28-2438.30 Right
06/11/2017 June 12 – 16 Slightly Higher 2431.77-2433.28 Right
06/04/2017 June 05 – 09 Slightly Higher 2439.09-2431.77 Wrong
05/28/2017 May 29 – June 02 Flat 2415.82-2439.09 Not Wrong
05/21/2017 May 22 – 26 Slightly Higher 2381.73-2415.82 Right
05/14/2017 May 15 – 19 Flat 2390.90-2381.73 Right
05/07/2017 May 08 – 12 Slightly Higher 2399.29-2390.90 Not Wrong
04/30/2017 May 01 – 05 Slightly Higher 2384.20-2399.29 Right
04/23/2017 April 24 – 28 Higher 2348.69-2384.20 Right
04/16/2017 April 17 – 21 Flat 2328.95-2348.9 Not Wrong
04/09/2017 April 10 – 14 Lower 2355.54-2328.95 Right
04/02/2017 April 03 – 07 Slightly Higher 2362.72-2355.54 Wrong
03/26/2017 March 27 – 31 Higher 2343.98-2362.72 Right
03/19/2017 March 20 – 24 Lower 2378.25-2343.98 Right
03/12/2017 March 13 – 17 Slightly higher 2372.60-2378.25 Right
03/05/2017 Mar 06 – Mar 10 Slightly higher 2383.12-2372.60 Not wrong
02/26/2017 Feb 27 – Mar 03 Slightly higher 2367.34-2383.12 Right
02/19/2017 Feb 20 – Feb 24 Slightly Higher 2351.16-2367.34 Right
02/12/2017 Feb 13 – Feb 17 Flat 2316.10-2351.16 Not Wrong
02/05/2017 Feb 06 – Feb 10 Slightly Higher 2297.42-2316.10 Right
01/29/2017 Jan 30 – Feb 03 Slightly Higher 2294.69-2297.42 Right
01/22/2017 Jan 23 – Jan 27 Flat 2271.31-2294.69 Not Wrong
01/15/2017 Jan 16 – Jan 20 Slightly Higher 2274.64-2271.31 Wrong
01/08/2017 Jan 09 – Jan 13 Slightly Higher 2276.98-2274.64 Not Wrong
01/01/2017 Jan 02 – Jan 06 Slightly Lower 2238.79-2276.98 Wrong
12/25/2016 Dec 26 – Dec 30 Slightly Lower 2263.79-2238.79 Right
12/18/2016 Dec 19 – Dec 23 Slightly Higher 2258.07-2263.79 Right
12/11/2016 Dec 12 – Dec 16 Slightly Higher 2259.53-2258.07 Not Wrong
12/04/2016 Dec 05 – Dec 09 Slightly Lower 2191.95-2259.53 Wrong
11/27/2016 Nov 28 – Dec 02 Slightly Lower 2213.35-2191.95 Right
11/20/2016 Nov 21 – Nov 25 Higher 2181.90-2213.35 Right
11/13/2016 Nov 14 – Nov 18 Slightly higher 2164.45-2181.90 Right
11/06/2016 Nov 07 – Nov 11 higher 2085.18-2164.45 Right
10/30/2016 Oct 31 – Nov 04 Slightly lower 2126.41-2085.18 Right
10/23/2016 Oct 24 – Oct 28 Slightly lower 2141.16-2126.41 Right
10/16/2016 Oct 17 – Oct 21 Slightly lower 2132.98-2141.16 Wrong
10/09/2016 Oct 10 – Oct 14 Slightly lower 2153.74-2132.98 Right
10/02/2016 Oct 03 – Oct 07 Slightly higher 2168.29-2153.74 Wrong
09/25/2016 Sept 26 – Sept 30 Flat 2164.69-2168.29 Right
09/18/2016 Sept 19 – Sept 23 Higher 2139.16-2164.69 Right
09/11/2016 Sept 12 – Sept 16 Lower 2127.81-2139.16 Wrong
09/04/2016 Sept 05 – Sept 09 Lower 2179.98-2127.81 Right
08/28/2016 Aug 29 – Sept 02 Lower 2169.04-2179.98 Wrong
08/21/2016 Aug 22 – Aug 26 Flat 2183.87-2169.04 Not Wrong
08/14/2016 Aug 15 – Aug 19 Flat 2184.05-2183.87 Right
08/07/2016 Aug 08 – Aug 12 Flat 2182.87-2184.05 Right
07/31/2016 Aug 01 – Aug 05 Slightly higher 2173.0-2182.87 Right
07/24/2016 July 25 – July 29 Slightly higher 2175.09-2173.60 Not wrong
07/17/2016 July 18 – July 22 Lower 2161.74-2175.09 Wrong
07/10/2016 July 11 – July 15 Lower 2129.90-2161.74 Wrong
07/03/2016 July 04 – July 08 Higher 2102.95-2129.90 Right
06/26/2016 June 27 – July 01 Flat 2037.41-2102.95 Not wrong
06/19/2016 June 20 – June 24 Lower 2071.22-2037.41 Right
06/12/2016 June 13 – June 17 Lower 2096.07-2071.22 Right
01/03/2016 Jan 04 – Jan 08 Slightly higher 2043.94-1922.03 Wrong
12/27/2015 Dec 28 – Dec 31 Slightly higher 2060.99-2043.94 Wrong
12/20/2015 Dec 21 – Dec 25 Slightly higher 2005.55-2060.99 Right
12/13/2015 Dec 14 – Dec 18 Flat 2012.37-2005.55 Right
12/06/2015 Dec 06 – Dec 11 Slightly Higher 2091.69-2012.37 Wrong
11/29/2015 Nov 30 – Dec 04 Slightly Higher 2090.11-2091.69 Right
11/22/2015 Nov 23 – Nov 27 Slightly Higher 2089.17-2090.11 Right
11/15/2015 Nov 16 – Nov 20 Slightly Lower 2023.04-2089.17 Wrong
11/08/2015 Nov 09 – Nov 16 Slightly lower 2099.20-2023.04 Right
11/01/2015 Nov 02 – Nov 06 Higher 2079.36-2099.20 Right
10/25/2015 Oct 26 – Oct 30 Slightly Higher 2075.15-2079.36 Right
10/18/2015 Oct 19 – Oct 23 Higher 2033.11-2075.15 Wrong
10/11/2015 Oct 12 – Oct 16 Higher 2014.89.36-2033.11 Right
10/04/2015 Oct 05 – Oct 09 Higher 1951.36-2014.89 Right
09/27/2015 Sept 28 – Oct 02 Flat 1931.34-1951.36 Not Wrong
09/20/2015 Sept 21 – Sept 25 Lower 1958.03-1931.34 Right
09/13/2015 Sept 14 – Sept 18 Slightly Higher 1961.05-1958.03 Not Wrong
09/06/2015 Sept 07 – Sept 11 Higher 1921.22-1961.05 Right
08/30/2015 Aug 31 – Sept 04 Lower 1988.87-1921.22 Right
08/23/2015 Aug 24 – Aug 28 Slightly higher 1970.89-1988.87 Right
08/16/2015 Aug 17 – Aug 21 Slightly higher 2091.54-1970.89 Wrong
08/09/2015 Aug 10 – Aug 14 Slightly higher 2077.57-2091.54 Right
08/02/2015 Aug 03 – Aug 07 Flat 2103.84-2077.57 Wrong
07/26/2015 July 27 – July 31 Slightly lower 2079.65-2103.84 Wrong
07/19/2015 July 20 – July 24 Flat 2126.64-2079.65 Wrong
07/12/2015 July 13 – July 17 Higher 2076.62-2126.64 Right
07/05/2015 July 06 – July 10 Slightly higher 2076.78-2076.62 Not Wrong
06/28/2015 June 29 – July 03 Slightly lower 2101.61-2076.78 Right
06/21/2015 Jun 22 – Jun 26 Slightly lower 2109.50-2101.61 Right
06/14/2015 June 15 – June 19 Slightly higher 2094.11-2109.50 Right
06/07/2015 Jun 08 – Jun 12 Slightly higher 2090.83-2094.11 Right
05/31/2015 Jun 01 – Jun 05 Slightly lower 2107.39-2090.83 Right
05/24/2015 May 25 – May 29 Slightly lower 2126.06-2107.39 Right
05/17/2015 May 18 – May 22 Slightly higher 2122.73-2126.06 Right
05/10/2015 May 11 – May 15 Slightly higher 2116.10-2122.73 Right
05/03/2015 May 04 – May 08 Slightly lower 2108.24-2116.10 Wrong
04/26/2015 April 27 – May 01 Slightly lower 2117.69-2108.24 Right
04/19/2015 Apr 20 – Apr 24 Slightly higher 2081.18-2117.69 Right
04/12/2015 April 13 – April 17 Slightly higher 2102.06-2081.18 Wrong
04/05/2015 Apr 06 – Apr 10 Slightly higher 2066.96-2102.06 Right
03/29/2015 Mar 30 – Apr 02 Slightly lower 2061.02-2066.96 Not Wrong
03/22/2015 Mar 23 – Mar 27 Flat/Slightly lower 2108.10-2061.02 Not Wrong

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