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U.S. Stock Market Forecasts

Yearly Forecast for

2026: Chaotic, but end flat
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My forecast for 2025 was correct. The S&P500 rose from 5800 to approximately 6800. My monthly forecast was right for many months and wrong for one or two. The monthly forecasts for 2026 are posted in the sidebar under the title "S&P500 Monthly Forecasts". Please note that I expect 2026 to be much more chaotic than 2025. Saturn and Mercury will fall and retrograde during the first quarter, followed by a conjunction of Mars and Saturn in the second quarter. Both Saturn and Mars will fall in the third quarter. Consequently, there can be a few corrections of the order of 8-10%, but the year could still end up flat for the S&P 500 due to the conjunction of Jupiter and Mars and the strength of Venus in the last quarter.
The picture above, depicts how the S&P 500 could behave in 2026, though I am not sure how much of it will actually come to pass. Still, it is worth keeping it in mind. This chart is based on monthly solar return charts, so there is only a single flat line for that month, but there may be significant volatility during that month. This chart shows that we may move up and down in 2026, but may end up unchanged. However, one needs to be careful during the periods Feb 17-March 16, July 17-Aug 16, and Oct 17-Dec 16, 2026. The S&P values shown in the chart are purely guesswork and assume that the value will be 7000 on January 17, 2026. I will correct the range with the real value of S&P 500 on 1/17/2026.

Monthly Forecast

Jan 17 - Feb 14: Slightly higher
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Feb 15 - Mar 16: Lower
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During the period (12/18/2025 - 01/16/2026), the U.S. stock market measured with S&P500 moved higher from 6720 to 6940. I was also expecting a higher month.

The market may go slightly higher during the period, January 17 to February 14. The critical planet, Mars is in Capricorn and occupies the second house along with Sun and Mercury This is a negative feature. The exalted Jupiter occupying the eighth house and aspects Saturn and Neptune. This setup is slightly favourable. Saturn in the sign Pisces occupies the fourth house and makes a sextile aspect with Uranus, Mars, Mercury and Venus. This is a positive feature. The month-lord Saturn occupies the fourth house along with Neptune. Combining the effects of all features, I think we may have a solar month that could end slightly higher.

The US stock market may go lower during the month (February 15, 2026 to March 16, 2026). Jupiter occupies the eleventh house in the sign Cancer and aspects Mercury in the seventh house. This is a highly favorable feature. The conjunction of Saturn and Neptune in the eighth house in the sign Aries. This is a highly unfavorable scenario. The Mars and Sun occupy the sixth house. The Sun forms a square aspect with Uranus. Considering everything together, I am of the opinion that this month can be a lower month for the U.S. stock market.

Monthly GOLD Forecast

February 2026: Flat/Sideways
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In January 2026, the price of gold rose from 4350 to 4750. I was also expecting it go higher.
The gold price may go sideways in February 2026. When I use the solar return chart based on the Gold-London-Fix as the parent chart, I find the compressed Vimshottri period of Rahu operating until the end of February. Rahu is a volatile planet and it occupies the tenth house in the sign Pisces. Rahu is a malefic planet, supposed to move the price higher. However, Rahu conjunct exalted Venus and gets the aspects of exalted Jupiter, which tend to lower the price of gold. I, therefore feel that the gold may move sideways during February and fall when the next period of Jupiter starts in March 2026.

Monthly Bitcoin Forecast


February 2026: Higher
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Bitcoin prices moved from $87870 to $78560 in January 2026. I was expecting it to go slightly higher.

The price of Bitcoin may go higher in February 2026. Monthly solar chart starts on Feb 02, 2026 at 8:52. The ascendant is Pisces at 19d37m. The planet Venus occupies the sign Aquarius, which is a positive feature. Jupiter is exalted, retrograde and occupies the fifth house. This is also a positive featue.The planet Moon is in Leo in the sixth house. This is a neutral feature. Since there is a clear prepoderance of positive features, I am quite hopeful that the price of Bitcoin may move higher in February 2026.

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